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MathematicsProbabilityAges 10–11

Probabilities Sum to One

Understand that when all possible outcomes of a trial are listed, their probabilities must add up to 1; use this to find the probability of an event NOT happening: P(not A) = 1 − P(A); apply this shortcut to avoid counting all unfavourable outcomes directly

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Probabilities Sum to One means practising the idea at the table with counters or paper models and one clear check. We will demo once, then your child tries.

Materials: 20 counters or beans; Paper and pencil for recording sums. Adult models 7 + 5 with counters, then writes the sum. Child builds three addition problems with counters and records each sum. Done: three correct sums with counters matching the written numbers. Stop after the fresh check; keep optional challenge for another day.

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Probabilities Sum to One practice

Practice key ideas from Probabilities Sum to One.

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PhET Interactive Simulations · Practice link — not the full lesson

Plinko Probability

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Plinko Probability supports hands-on exploration for Probabilities Sum to One. Not every lab worksheet.

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Ask the learner what they changed in the sim or page and what they observed.

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Public PhET Interactive Simulations page. An anonymous GET on 2026-11-12 returned HTTP 200 with no login or payment prompt for this URL. Opening the link does not save practice or assess mastery. An adult should preview and guide the learner.

PhET Interactive Simulations. “Plinko Probability.” External page; Gakuva does not copy, host, embed, or redistribute materials.

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Check understanding

  • List all outcomes of spinning a 4-colour spinner and verify their probabilities add up to 1
  • Calculate P(not rolling a 3) as 1 − 1/6 = 5/6 using the complement rule
  • Spot an error in a probability table where the values don't sum to 1 and explain what's wrong
“If the probability of it raining tomorrow is 0.3, can your child work out the probability of it NOT raining — and explain why all probabilities in a situation must add up to 1?”

Curriculum record

Type
Conceptual
Subject
Mathematics
Domain
Probability
Age range
Ages 10–11

Standards

uk-nc-2013:KS3.Maths.Prob.2